Wednesday, July 11, 2012

Second day, round one

The question of the day is why I can't stop playing like a donkey... I know what to do, why can't I do it? I spent all last night doing statistical analysis so I know which hands I should play, and yet...

First hand A4 suited one off the button... Called a raise, folded after I missed the flop. Interesting outcome, so unlike every other suited ace I've played.

So I admonish myself and wait. Early in the round, there a raise to $1,200 and I peak down at my small blind hand to find AQ offsuit, so I raise to $3,200. The short stack after me moves all in with $13,000 and the initial two fold. Ugh. I call.

He has tens. Most people consider two over cards vs a pocket pair a coin toss, 50/50. Its actually between 54 and 58 percent in favor of the pocket pair. In this case, his tens interrupt my potential straight and I don't have either of his potential flushes covered, so he is over fifty seven percent to win... And I would be down to $10,000 or so - effectively done.

Flop 9, Q, 6 rainbow! Hit my queen! The turn comes an 8 giving him a straight draw with a 7 or J, but the river was a benevolent 2 and I took down a huge win.

Jay (Jason Alexander) told me "nice hand man", at which point I got down om my hands and knees, praised him, and told him I'm not worthy. He's been pretty quiet the whole time... last year brad garrett wouldn't shut up. No espn cameras so far either.

I had 2's in the big blind and called a raise because I was paying 600 to win 3400 and liked the odds. As we found out on monday, I lose these hands - and so I did.

AK suited one off the button... three bet a raise to a thousand to $3,200 but didn't get any callers.

Raised with AQ, missed the flop, but didn't take a stab at it! Saved myself $2,600...

Did take a stab at blinds with 9, 10 off on the button, but got three bet by small blind and had to fold.

$32,850 at the break.

And yes, I am making sure everyone knows I am the funniest guy at the table...

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